Last year, of 26 scripted shows, CBS cancelled 8 and renewed 18. However, of the 8 cancelled, 7 were new shows. Brutal. In other words, they cancelled only 1 of their pre-existing shows. Of the 18 renewals, only 2-3 were newbies; the rest were roll-overs. So, looking at CBS for this year, I want to try and take that approach into account — most existing shows are likely to make it, few newbies.

Returning shows that I think are safe for renewal:

• The Big Bang Theory
• Scorpion
• NCIS
• NCIS: New Orleans
• NCIS: Los Angeles
• Madam Secretary
• Bull
• Blue Bloods
• Kevin Can Wait
• Superior Donuts
• Criminal Minds

Returning shows I think will be cancelled:

• Hawaii Five-O – it has to die sometime;
• MacGyver – I was sure it would die last year and didn’t;

New shows that I think will make it:

• Young Sheldon – well, duh, it could die a 1000 times and it will likely get renewed just to keep tweaking it until it works;
• S.W.A.T. – With H50 and MacGyver not strong enough to continue in my view, I’m going to bet on another throwback continuing with this one;

New shows that I think will get cancelled:

• 9JKL – I love the main star, and everyone wants their family sitcom to work, but not this one about moving to New York and living between parents and siblings;
• Me, Myself and I – The time stamp world of three different times in one’s life sounds intriguing, and I love John Larroquette, but doesn’t look like it will gel quickly;
• Seal Team – It was a toss up with S.W.A.T., but I’m not convinced David B is right for the series;
• Wisdom of the Crowd – Tech approaches to crime fighting, similar to a dozen other shows that have tried and failed to merge the two in the last five or six years;

Ones shown in red are ones that I either watch or will give a chance.