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Tag Archives: 2017-18

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How I did predicting renewal for new TV shows for 2017-18

The PolyBlog
May 18 2018

Way back at the start of the television season, I tried to predict the success factor for all the new shows as to whether or not they were likely to get renewal for a second season. Let’s see how I did…

The first group were the ones I predicted renewal for, and there were 12.

  • ABC: The Good Doctor – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED
  • ABC: The Mayor – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is CANCELLED — after watching one EP, it was pretty clear it would be cancelled though
  • ABC: Marvel’s Inhumans – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is CANCELLED — although watching the EPs, that’s not too surprising
  • CBS: Young Sheldon – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED
  • CBS: S.W.A.T. – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED
  • CW: Black Lightning – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED
  • OX: The Gifted – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED
  • FOX: The Orville – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED
  • FOX: The Resident – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED
  • NBC: Champions – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is LIKELY CANCELLED
  • NBC: Rise – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • NBC: Will and Grace – Predicted RENEWED and outcome is RENEWED.

So I got 8/12 right. Much better than I did last year (where it was more 50/50). If I had waited to watch the first few EPs before I predicted, I would have at least went to 10/12 right…I never watched Champions or Rise.

The second group of shows were ones where I was predicting cancellation, with 16 predicted to circle the drain. Again, let’s see how I did:

  • ABC: Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (formerly The Gospel of Kevin) – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • ABC: Ten Days in the Valley – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • CBS: 9JKL – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • BS: Me, Myself and I – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • BS: Seal Team – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is RENEWED
  • CBS: Wisdom of the Crowd – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • CW: Dynasty – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is RENEWED
  • CW: Life Sentence – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • CW: Valor – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • FOX: L.A. to Vegas – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is LIKELY RENEWED
  • FOX: Ghosted – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is LIKELY CANCELLED
  • NBC: The Brave – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • NBC: A.P. Bio – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is RENEWED
  • NBC: Good Girls – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is RENEWED
  • NBC: Law & Order: True Crime – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is CANCELLED
  • NBC: Reverie – Predicted CANCELLED and outcome is unknown.

Of the 15 where the outcome is mostly known, I only got 10 right (2/3). However, for at least two more of the “wrong ones” i.e. ones that were renewed, others were surprised by those renewal notes since the ratings kind of sucked. Which means I was right about the ratings, but they got renewed anyway. Weird. That would have taken me to 12/15 or 80%.

Overall I have 8+10 = 18 out of 27, or 2/3. If I adjusted for the actual shows and ignoring surprises, I would have had closer to 22/27 or 80%.

Better than last year at least. I’m improving 🙂

Posted in Television | Tagged 2017-18, cancellation, predictions, renewal, results, season, tv | Leave a reply

Series premiere: Absentia

The PolyBlog
February 14 2018

Back in the fall, I never saw much about a series called Absentia. I saw media reports earlier that Stana Katic, fresh off of Castle, was going to be in a new show sometime, but that was about it. But I recently saw a banner blurb about the show, and I thought it was just premiering this month, with no context for what it was. I assumed it was a generic mid-season replacement. Imagine my surprise to find out that not only is it Stana Katic’s show, but it already premiered back in September and the first ten episodes have … Continue reading →

Posted in Television | Tagged 2017-18, premiere, series, television, winter | Leave a reply

Series premiere: Black Lightning

The PolyBlog
February 11 2018

CW loves Greg Berlanti’s shows about superheroes, so I’m not surprised that they picked up Black Lightning. In terms of the future, my early prediction was: CW: Black Lightning – It’s all Berlanti, all the time, it would be crazy to bet against it, even without the Arrowverse tie-ins, RENEWED; Now that I’ve seen the episode, I’m not as convinced. Arrow, Flash, Supergirl and DC Legends of Tomorrow all have a “bigger than me” feel to them, even in their first few episodes. The Green Arrow was taking down his father’s cronies; the Flash was working for the police; Supergirl … Continue reading →

Posted in Television | Tagged 2017-18, premiere, series, television, winter | Leave a reply

Series premiere: The Resident

The PolyBlog
February 8 2018

Back in the fall, when I saw the upcoming shows for the 2017-18 season, I read the blurbs for “The Resident” and thought, “Umm, don’t we already have that show?”. More precisely, I thought: FOX: The Resident – A medical show with hot actors? Yeah, they’ll try real hard to keep it, RENEWED; Grey’s Anatomy, ER, heck even St. Elsewhere back in the day have all been hits with a similar formula. Residents, turnover, sex in patient rooms and closets, drama in and out of the hospital, oh, and let’s not forget the stakes here — we’re talking about potential … Continue reading →

Posted in Television | Tagged 2017-18, premiere, series, television, winter | Leave a reply

Series premiere: Burden of Truth

The PolyBlog
February 5 2018

The premise of the new series Burden of Proof , errr, of TRUTH, is one as old as time, at least in legal premises for TV and movies. In fact, in this case, it involves two tropes thrown together. First, there is the big city lawyer who comes to the small town world, and stays. Sometimes it’s a comedy, sometimes it’s a drama, but when it is in a TV series, it generally lasts one or two seasons, and then disappears. Second, there is the Erin Brockovich storyline. A big bad company is harming the simple local folk, and must … Continue reading →

Posted in Television | Tagged 2017-18, premiere, series, television, winter | Leave a reply

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